First post!

During the next few months I will try to keep an ongoing, gradually refined electoral projection, on my blog.

My methodology will be as follow: I will collect as many projection and polls as I can find in the local and international press, and use the 2005 and 2007 by election results to try and form a projection. (For those interested you can view my earlier attempt at projecting the results of the 2007 by elections here and here)